COMPUTE-RV · GPU residual value index · spec 0.1.0 · print 2026-09-03
Monthly data print, September 2026. Method, the six data veins, the worked H100 example and the DOMINO exposure map are set out in the launch print of 2026-08-11 and are not restated here — this print carries the curve, what moved, and the frontier-roll stress, re-run verbatim on the same engine.
Every generation with an observable secondary print lands inside its band — the income model and the resale market agree.
Income values sit above replacement cost on every generation; the curve is a replacement-cost story, not a cash-flow story.
A 1.7x frontier price-performance step cuts composite retention from 74.4% to 43.7% at a stroke.
Income PV is what the rental stream is worth; the ceiling is what frontier arbitrage allows; COMPUTE-RV is the lower of the two.
| Generation | Age (mo) | Spot $/hr | Income PV | Ceiling | COMPUTE-RV | Retention | Cross-check |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A100-80GB | 70 | 1.60 | $9,419 | $7,197 | $7,197 | 48.0% | In band |
| H100-80GB SXM | 47 | 3.23 | $40,368 | $21,591 | $21,591 | 72.0% | In band |
| H200-141GB | 24 | 4.20 | $65,439 | $25,909 | $25,909 | 74.0% | No print |
| B200-192GB | 18 | 6.00 | $97,419 | $47,500 | $47,500 | 100.0% | In band |
Replacement cost binds 4 of 4 generations — the index is insensitive to rental assumptions and exposed to frontier pricing. H100: income PV $40,368, ceiling $21,591, broker band $15,000–$28,000.
Rates, ceilings and the binding constraint, this print against the last. A move in the ceiling column is the frontier repricing; a move in the binding column is the regime changing.
Versus the prior print (2026-08-11): neocloud rates A100 1.60→1.60 (0.0%); H100 3.25→3.23 (-0.6%); H200 4.29→4.20 (-2.1%); B200 6.11→6.00 (-1.8%). Ceilings unchanged. Binding constraint unchanged on 4 of 4 generations. Composite retention 74.4% against 74.4% (0.0 pts).
| Generation | Spot $/hr | Δ rate | Δ income PV | Δ ceiling | Δ retention | Binding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A100-80GB | 1.60 | 0.0% | -6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 pts | replacement ceiling |
| H100-80GB SXM | 3.23 | -0.6% | -2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 pts | replacement ceiling |
| H200-141GB | 4.20 | -2.1% | -3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 pts | replacement ceiling |
| B200-192GB | 6.00 | -1.8% | -3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0 pts | replacement ceiling |
Stress: the next frontier lands at 1.7x the current frontier's street price-performance; every ceiling reprices at once. Next ramp 3 months out.
| Generation | COMPUTE-RV today | Under Rubin roll | Retention today | Retention stressed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A100-80GB | $7,197 | $4,234 | 48.0% | 28.2% |
| H100-80GB SXM | $21,591 | $12,701 | 72.0% | 42.3% |
| H200-141GB | $25,909 | $15,241 | 74.0% | 43.5% |
| B200-192GB | $47,500 | $27,941 | 100.0% | 58.8% |
Composite retention falls from 74.4% to 43.7% the day the frontier reprices at 1.7x — the curve's cushion is one product cycle deep.
Every row is a filed print — hash-chained, externally anchored, never rewritten. The index's history is its own audit trail; 2 prints to date.
| Composite | A100 | H100 | H200 | B200 | Bands hit | Input hash | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 74.4% | 48.0% | 72.0% | 74.0% | 100.0% | 3/3 | a9af611f… |
| 2026-09-03 | 74.4% | 48.0% | 72.0% | 74.0% | 100.0% | 3/3 | f5981f43… |